Listen to the final episode from our ‘US Election with Erik Green’ podcast series. We talk once again to Democratic voter Amelia Morel and Greg Swenson from Republican Overseas. Discussing the last few months of the campaign, what happened on election night, and what next for the two parties, and for America. Plus what has surprised them about their country since the last time we … Continue reading US Election Podcast: The Aftermath
How did Joe Biden win Wisconsin? Not by flipping the 22 counties which Trump won from Obama in 2016. Joe Biden won only two counties taken by Trump in 2016: County Obama Romney Clinton Trump Biden Trump Door 52.95% 45.96% 45.55% 48.77% 50.00% 48.60% Sauk 58.68% 40.21% 46.85% 47.20% 50.00% 48.40% The vote change in the remaining 20 counties which Trump had won from Obama … Continue reading Biden’s Wisconsin Victory Reflects a Polarised America.
How will the world remember Donald Trump’s election night speech? Ever the showman, it caught the international audience perfectly. Most of America was still awake, in Europe, many were watching the news over breakfast, and in Asia, they were already deep into the afternoon. The world was watching the President of the United States following the practice of its greatest democratic exercise. In the county … Continue reading Biden’s first test.
Disjointed, and ambiguous. That was the story of the night and is this morning what threatens the stability of American Democracy. Joe Biden leads by 13 electoral college votes, with both sides having clear paths to victory with nine states left to declare. The evening was one of mirages. With Biden taking an early lead in Ohio, only to fall significantly behind Trump once ballots … Continue reading Disjointed, ambiguous, and dangerous.
A pivotal state and one with a history of having close voting outcomes Originally Published at Shout Out UK on Friday 16th October 2020. For both candidates victory in Florida is essential to taking the White House. Without it, Donald Trump will certainly face defeat on November 3. Joe Biden would need to considerable gains in redder states elsewhere to make up for Florida’s 29 … Continue reading Will the Cuban-American vote help Trump win Florida?
Trump’s untimely illness reveals something primal about what we want from our leaders. For most of history, humans saw their leaders as representatives of God. Two years after his death, Caesar was deified as ‘Divus Julius’ (Divine Julius). At his coronation, ‘heaven and earth agreed’ to Genghis Khan’s selection. Ancient leaders have always been ‘exceptional’. From birth, they had greater status and power than any of their … Continue reading Trump’s illness reveals a transatlantic problem: Can a leader be ‘one of us’ and ‘exceptional’?
2016 was not a disaster in terms of polling predictions if we take a closer look Originally Published at Shout Out UK on Friday 25th September. On Monday, Chris Whitty and Sir Patrick Vallance alarmed the country with warnings of rising Covid-19 cases. On Tuesday, Keir Starmer stressed (again) that he wasn’t Jeremy Corbyn and that Labour ‘love this country as you do’. That evening, the Prime … Continue reading Can Americans trust the polls this time?
Overlaying a broadcast interview with CNN, was a headline that epitomises the problem Joe Biden faces in winning back Midwestern America. It read, ‘Biden now says he was against NAFTA, after voting for it’. This came in a week when Biden revealed, in Michigan, his new tax plan, which promised a 10% tax break for companies that reinvested in the Midwest. Printed across the podium … Continue reading From Trade to Race. The Swing States of Midwest America.
If focus shifts away from racial discrimination and to law and order, Biden is vulnerable. Continue reading The week that revealed Joe Biden’s vulnerability
Trump outlined his position in this campaign. But for it to be successful he relies on events outside of his control. Continue reading Trump reveals his dependency on events, as he promises to protect ‘American way of life’.