Below are a series of posts analysing the key battleground states that will decide this election. With a primary focus on polling, changing demographics and county level detail.
the battleground states
A pivotal state and one with a history of having close voting outcomes Originally Published at Shout Out UK on Friday 16th October 2020. For both candidates victory in Florida… Continue reading Will the Cuban-American vote help Trump win Florida?
Trump’s untimely illness reveals something primal about what we want from our leaders. For most of history, humans saw their leaders as representatives of God. Two years after his death, Caesar was… Continue reading Trump’s illness reveals a transatlantic problem: Can a leader be ‘one of us’ and ‘exceptional’?
2016 was not a disaster in terms of polling predictions if we take a closer look Originally Published at Shout Out UK on Friday 25th September. On Monday, Chris Whitty and… Continue reading Can Americans trust the polls this time?
Leading up to lockdown on the 23rd March, the Government and its Scientific Advisors made two significant mistakes. The first was to decide on the 12th March that the virus… Continue reading Periodic Restrictions are likely, but what is the UK’s way out?
Overlaying a broadcast interview with CNN, was a headline that epitomises the problem Joe Biden faces in winning back Midwestern America. It read, ‘Biden now says he was against NAFTA,… Continue reading From Trade to Race. The Swing States of Midwest America.