Below are a series of posts analysing the key battleground states that will decide this election. With a primary focus on polling, changing demographics and county level detail.

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the battleground states

10th October – 16th October

Campaign Summary 10th October – 16th October: Last night Trump and Biden held duelling town hall forums, replacing the scheduled second Presidential debate: –       NBC host frequently called out Trump for making… Continue reading 10th October – 16th October

Will the Cuban-American vote help Trump win Florida?

Will the Cuban-American vote help Trump win Florida?

A pivotal state and one with a history of having close voting outcomes Originally Published at Shout Out UK on Friday 16th October 2020. For both candidates victory in Florida… Continue reading Will the Cuban-American vote help Trump win Florida?

3rd-9th October

In the space of 7 days, Donald Trump was tested positive for Covid-19, along with at least 34 members of the White House team. Joe Biden tested negative. After the… Continue reading 3rd-9th October

Trump’s illness reveals a transatlantic problem: Can a leader be ‘one of us’ and ‘exceptional’?

Trump’s illness reveals a transatlantic problem: Can a leader be ‘one of us’ and ‘exceptional’?

Trump’s untimely illness reveals something primal about what we want from our leaders. For most of history, humans saw their leaders as representatives of God. Two years after his death, Caesar was… Continue reading Trump’s illness reveals a transatlantic problem: Can a leader be ‘one of us’ and ‘exceptional’?

26th September – 2nd October

Reaction to the first Presidential Debate: The Washington Post: ‘The debate probably did more to help Biden, at a moment when Trump needed to change the shape and trajectory of… Continue reading 26th September – 2nd October

Can Americans trust the polls this time?

Can Americans trust the polls this time?

2016 was not a disaster in terms of polling predictions if we take a closer look Originally Published at Shout Out UK on Friday 25th September. On Monday, Chris Whitty and… Continue reading Can Americans trust the polls this time?

18th September – 25th September

Supreme Court Judge Ruth Bader Ginsburg died aged 87 on Friday. ‘Ginsburg bore witness to, argued for, and helped to constitutionalize the most hard-fought revolution in modern American history: the… Continue reading 18th September – 25th September

Periodic Restrictions are likely, but what is the UK’s way out?

Periodic Restrictions are likely, but what is the UK’s way out?

Leading up to lockdown on the 23rd March, the Government and its Scientific Advisors made two significant mistakes. The first was to decide on the 12th March that the virus… Continue reading Periodic Restrictions are likely, but what is the UK’s way out?

From Trade to Race. The Swing States of Midwest America.

From Trade to Race. The Swing States of Midwest America.

Overlaying a broadcast interview with CNN, was a headline that epitomises the problem Joe Biden faces in winning back Midwestern America. It read, ‘Biden now says he was against NAFTA,… Continue reading From Trade to Race. The Swing States of Midwest America.

11th September – 17th September

The California Problem: ‘California has become a warming, epidemic-challenged and expensive state, with for the first time in a decade, more people’ leaving the state ‘than arrived’. Trump says it’s… Continue reading 11th September – 17th September