How did Joe Biden win Wisconsin? Not by flipping the 22 counties which Trump won from Obama in 2016. Joe Biden won only two counties taken by Trump in 2016: County Obama Romney Clinton Trump Biden Trump Door 52.95% 45.96% 45.55% 48.77% 50.00% 48.60% Sauk 58.68% 40.21% 46.85% 47.20% 50.00% 48.40% The vote change in the remaining 20 counties which Trump had won from Obama … Continue reading Biden’s Wisconsin Victory Reflects a Polarised America.
How will the world remember Donald Trump’s election night speech? Ever the showman, it caught the international audience perfectly. Most of America was still awake, in Europe, many were watching the news over breakfast, and in Asia, they were already deep into the afternoon. The world was watching the President of the United States following the practice of its greatest democratic exercise. In the county … Continue reading Biden’s first test.
Disjointed, and ambiguous. That was the story of the night and is this morning what threatens the stability of American Democracy. Joe Biden leads by 13 electoral college votes, with both sides having clear paths to victory with nine states left to declare. The evening was one of mirages. With Biden taking an early lead in Ohio, only to fall significantly behind Trump once ballots … Continue reading Disjointed, ambiguous, and dangerous.
The Indicators: Are you satisfied with way things ‘are going in America’? September: 14% yes, October: 19% (Gallup)This is mainly down to Republicans increasing, Independents have remained at 14%. Obama won re-election at 33%, Reagan 48%. George WH Bush lost at 22%. Economic confidence is slightly better: -32 April to -4 October. BUT it was +41 before the pandemic (highest in two decades). Amongst independents they are -9 … Continue reading Election Night Guide: